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Prediction for CME (2022-01-20T09:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-01-20T09:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18911/-1
CME Note: The source of this CME is a filament eruption visible in SDO/AIA 304 starting around 2022-01-20T08:00Z followed by notable dimming best seen in SDO/AIA 193 and some rising loops after the filament erupts (visible in both SDO/AIA 193 and 171). The source location is just NW of AR 12933. This is a possible combined arrival with the 2022-01-21T09:53Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-01-24T17:09Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-23T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)
Prediction Method Note:

Please enter the following information for your prediction:
SWPC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version:
Resolution:
Ambient settings:
WSA version:

CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary:
Radial velocity (km/s):
Longitude (deg):
Latitude (deg):
Half-angular width (deg):

Notes:

Lead Time: 87.15 hour(s)
Difference: 33.15 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Robert Loper (M2M Office) on 2022-01-21T02:00Z

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